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Is core inflation useful in predicting headline inflation? Evidence from a large, emerging economy by Yogeshwar Bharat (SNU), Rajeswari Sengupta (IGIDR), Gautham Udupa (CAFRAL)

NO : WP-2025-021 AUTHOR : Yogeshwar Bharat (SNU), Rajeswari Sengupta (IGIDR), Gautham Udupa (CAFRAL) TITLE : Is core inflation useful in predicting headline inflation? Evidence from a large, emerging economy ABSTRACT : Core inflation measure is widely tracked as a measure of trend inflation, but it does not forecast headline inflation well. In […]

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MAXIMUM ENTROPY SPECTRAL ANALYSIS by Dilip M.Nachane

NO : WP-2025-020 AUTHOR : Dilip M.Nachane TITLE : MAXIMUM ENTROPY SPECTRAL ANALYSIS ABSTRACT : The maximum entropy principle is characterized as assuming the least about the unknown parameters in a statistical model. In its applied manifestations, it uses all the available information and makes the fewest possible assumptions regarding the unavailable information. The […]

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Rent-seeking and Reorganisation of Administrative Units by Gopakumar Achuthankutty, Ayushi Choudhary, and Rupayan Pal

NO : WP-2025-019 AUTHOR : Gopakumar Achuthankutty, Ayushi Choudhary, and Rupayan Pal TITLE : Rent-seeking and Reorganisation of Administrative Units ABSTRACT : We examine whether rent-seeking incentives shape a central planner’s decision to reorganise administrative units. In a two-stage group contest, risk-neutral administrative units compete for shares of a perfectly divisible public fund, with […]

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